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The next two years will probably finish off both Gossage and Smith, even though the list of eligibles in 2005 includes only one debatable inductee (Wade Boggs) and 2006 only one other (Orel Hershiser).
Neither looks particularly imposing, electability-wise, leaving what little voting intrigue there is for Jim Rice and Andre Dawson, currently stalled at around half the electorate.
Both men clearly outrank Gossage, whose voting percentage has decreased each of the last four seasons, and Smith, who lost 25 voters from last year's ballot without throwing a single pitch.
And none of the above has a prayer in 2007, when the sure things include Tony Gwynn, Mark McGwire and Cal Ripken.
Thus, Sutter's last chance is either here or coming soon, and Gossage and Smith are basically doomed, joining a list of impact/great closers who were eliminated with a flourish -- like Jeff Reardon (24 votes in 1999, his only year of eligibility), Dave Righetti, Tom Henke and Steve Bedrosian (nine votes between them in 2001), Mitch Williams and Todd Worrell (zero votes each in 2003), and Randy Myers (one vote this time).
Just for those seven guys, it comes out to 56 saves per vote. Eck needed 421 votes to get in. Four-twenty-one times fifty-six ... nahhh. Not worth the bother.
And on the horizon? Only Mariano Rivera, who had the great fortune to be very good at his job while in New York playing for a series of World Series champions. No John Franco, no Trevor Hoffman, no John Wetteland, no Robb Nen, no Roberto Hernandez, no no NO!
Strength coaches get more respect.
And don't even start on what this mind-set of exclusivity does to the idea of a pure designated hitter going to the Hall, like Harold Baines (eligible in 2007) or Edgar Martinez (still playing at age 109). They're so not in, they'll have to wait for the inductions of Snoop Doggy Dogg and Jimmy Neutron.
All of which tells us that Eck's election was more of a compliment than it at first seemed.
The voters' reluctance to make any logical contortions on behalf of the reliever class tells you everything you need to know about Eck's career. He went to the Hall of Fame by overcoming his own job description, which is more than Babe Ruth ever had to do.
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